Dự báo giá vàng thế giới tháng 01/2011

WfSAO GIA VANG THE Glffl

WANG 01/2011

NGUYEN TH! BIC H HOA, NGUYEN HONG QUAN va c6ng siT

Chi nhdnt) tgi Thanhi ptio Ho Chi Minh

Trung tam Thong fin va DU bdo kinh te - xa hpi quoc gia

1. Nhflng dien bien chinh cua

thj trfldng vang the gidi thang 11

va dau thang 12/2010

Thang 11 tie'p tuc la thang giao

djch day a'n tflpng ciia thi trfldng

tai chinh the' gidi: gia vang tiep

tuc lap mflc ky luc mdi la 1.425,5

USD/ounce; ddng USD danh dau

thang phuc hdi manh nhai ke tfl

thang 06/2010, song vfin chfla du

manh de gifl gia vang kbdng tang;

gia bac vflpt ngfldng 30

USD/ounce lan dau tien trong

vdng 30 nam qua.

Mac du da cd liic dieu chinh

ve 1.325 U6D/ounce trong nhflng

phien dau thang song gia vang

giao ngay trong nfla dau thang 11

tiep tuc da tang ben vflng khi thiei

lap mflc ky luc 1.425,5

USD/ounce vao ngay 09/11/2010.

Ngay sau khi thiei lap dinh mdi,

trong phien ngay 12/11, cac nha

dau tfl vang day manh ban ra

trfldc thdng tin Trung Qud'c chuan

bj nang lai suai cd bfin de kiem

soat lam phat dang ngay cang

In November and first days of December 2010, world gold price kept

on Its raising tendency and hit new records. However, after transaction

session on 7th of December, price fended to fall. The underlying reasons

for recent complex movements of world gold prices are: the volatile

recovery of US economy; uncertainty of European economy; war rheto￾ric between North Korea and South Korea...

In the time to come, world gold market is expected to be affected

by both upward and downward pressures. Especially, profit making

pressure and the caution of Investors are seen as the biggest risks to

world gold price downturn. Using technical analysis, world gold price

in January of 2011 is forecasted to be fall by more than 100 USD per

•'• TIL/(3C do Trung Qutfc c6n g bf i Igm ph61

t(5ng A%. mac tang manh nhfit trong 2 nfim gan

<3<Sy.

tang'" va hien tfldng ddng loat ban thao ddi vdi cac hang hda khac.

Dieu nay da khien gia vang tut ddc manh, nhanh chdng tiep can mflc

1.359 USD/ounce, danh da'u phien giam gia manh nhai ke tfl thang

7/2010. Trong hai phien giao djch tiep theo, vang da quay trd lai mdc

1.329 USD/ounce trfldc khi tiep tuc da tang vflng.

Mpt so' die'm dang Iflu y trong giao dich vang the gidi thang 11 la:

ddng USD cd mflc hdi phuc an tflpng trong vdng 6 thang trd lai day,

nhflng vi n khdng the kim ham da tang cua vang; gia vang va USD

tren thi trfldng the' gidi da dien bien cung chieu tang do lo ngai ve

kinh te chau Au va tinh hinh chfnh trj d chau A, dae biet la trfldc

nhflng dil n bien cang thang gifla hai mien Trieu Tien; gia cac kim

loai quy tang manh nhflng khdi Ifldng giao djch tren tbi trfldng lai

tha'p hon thfldng le do cac nha dau tfl dpi chd thdi diem nhay cfim

vao cud'i nam.

Nhin chung, trong thang 11, gia vang da bien dpng trong bien dp

kha rpng (1.325-1.424 USD/ounce) nhflng khdi Iflpng giao djch ye'u hdn

thudng le. Tinh hinh kinh te va chinb tri tren the gidi cd nhieu bai dn

So 60 (12.2010) THONG TIN & DIJ BAO KINH TE - XA HOI