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International Macroeconomics and Finance: Theory and Empirical Methods Phần 4 pdf
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4.1. THE BARTER ECONOMY 107
capital inputs. Some people like to think of these firms as fruit trees.
You can also normalize the number of firms in each country to 1. xt
is the exogenous domestic output and yt is the exogenous foreign output. The evolution of output is given by xt = gtxt−1 at home and by
yt = g∗
t yt−1 abroad where gt and g∗
t are random gross rates of change
that evolve according to a stochastic process that is known by agents.
Each firm issues one perfectly divisible share of common stock which
is traded in a competitive stock market. The firms pay out all of their
output as dividends to shareholders. Dividends form the sole source of
support for individuals. We will let xt be the numeraire good and qt
be the price of yt in terms of xt. et is the ex-dividend market value of
the domestic firm and e∗
t is the ex-dividend market value of the foreign
firm.
The domestic agent consumes cxt units of the home good, cyt units
of the foreign good and holds ωxt shares of the domestic firm and ωyt
shares of the foreign firm. Similarly, the foreign agent consumes c∗
xt,
units of the home good, c∗
yt units of the foreign good and holds ω∗
xt
shares of the domestic firm and ω∗
yt shares of the foreign firm.
The domestic agent brings into period t wealth valued at
Wt = ωxt−1(xt + et) + ωyt−1(qtyt + e∗
t ), (4.1)
where xt +et and qtyt +e∗
t are the with-dividend value of the home and
foreign firms. The individual then allocates current wealth towards new
share purchases etωxt + e∗
tωyt , and consumption cxt + qtcyt
Wt = etωxt + e∗
tωyt + cxt + qtcyt . (4.2)
Equating (4.1) to (4.2) gives the consolidated budget constraint
cxt + qtcyt + etωxt + e∗
tωyt = ωxt−1(xt + et) + ωyt−1(qtyt + e∗
t ). (4.3)
Let u(cxt, cyt) be current period utility and 0 < β < 1 be the subjective discount factor. The domestic agentís problem then is to choose sequences of consumption and stock purchases, {cxt+j , cyt+j , ωxt+j , ωyt+j}∞
j=0,
to maximize expected lifetime utility
Et
X∞
j=0
βj
u(cxt+j , cyt+j)
, (4.4)
108 CHAPTER 4. THE LUCAS MODEL
subject to (4.3).
You can transform the constrained optimum problem into an unconstrained optimum problem by substituting cxt from (4.3) into (4.4).
The objective function becomes
u(ωxt−1(xt + et) + ωyt−1(qtyt + e∗
t ) − etωxt − e∗
tωyt − qtcyt , cyt )
+Et[βu(ωxt(xt+1 + et+1) + ωyt(qt+1yt+1 + e∗
t+1)
−et+1ωxt+1 − e∗
t+1ωyt+1 − qt+1cyt+1 , cyt+1 )] + ···
(4.5)
Let u1(cxt, cyt) = ∂u(cxt, cyt)/∂cxt be the marginal utility of x-consumption
and u2(cxt, cyt) = ∂u(cxt, cyt)/∂cyt be the marginal utility of y-consumption.
Differentiating (4.5) with respect to cyt, ωxt, and ωyt, setting the result
(77)⇒ to zero and rearranging yields the Euler equations
cyt : qtu1(cxt, cyt) = u2(cxt, cyt), (4.6)
ωxt : etu1(cxt, cyt) = βEt[u1(cxt+1, cyt+1)(xt+1 + et+1)], (4.7)
ωyt : e∗
t u1(cxt, cyt) = βEt[u1(cxt+1, cyt+1)(qt+1yt+1 + e∗
t+1)]. (4.8)
These equations must hold if the agent is behaving optimally. (4.6)
is the standard intratemporal optimality condition that equates the
relative price between x and y to their marginal rate of substitution.
Reallocating consumption by adding a unit of cy increases utility by
u2(·). This is financed by giving up qt units of cx, each unit of which
costs u1(·) units of utility for a total utility cost of qtu1(·). If the individual is behaving optimally, no such reallocations of the consumption
plan yields a net gain in utility.
(4.7) is the intertemporal Euler equation for purchases of the domestic equity. The left side is the utility cost of the marginal purchase
of domestic equity. To buy incremental shares of the domestic firm, it
costs the individual et units of cx, each unit of which lowers utility by
u1(cxt, cyt). The right hand side of (4.7) is the utility expected to be
derived from the payoff of the marginal investment. If the individual
is behaving optimally, no such reallocations between consumption and
saving can yield a net increase in utility. An analogous interpretation
holds for intertemporal reallocations of consumption and purchases of
the foreign equity in (4.8).
4.1. THE BARTER ECONOMY 109
The foreign agent has the same utility function and faces the analogous problem to maximize
Et
X∞
j=0
βj
u(c∗
xt+j , c∗
yt+j)
, (4.9)
subject to
c∗
xt + qtc∗
yt + etω∗
xt + e∗
tω∗
yt = ω∗
xt−1(xt + et) + ω∗
yt−1(qtyt + e∗
t ). (4.10)
The analogous set of Euler equations for the foreign individual are
c∗
yt : qtu1(c∗
xt, c∗
yt) = u2(c∗
xt, c∗
yt), (4.11)
ω∗
xt : etu1(c∗
xt, c∗
yt) = βEt[u1(c∗
xt+1, c∗
yt+1)(xt+1 + et+1)], (4.12)
ω∗
yt : e∗
t u1(c∗
xt, c∗
yt) = βEt[u1(c∗
xt+1, c∗
yt+1)(qt+1yt+1 + e∗
t+1)].(4.13)
A set of four adding up constraints on outstanding equity shares and
the exhaustion of output in home and foreign consumption complete
the specification of the barter model
ωxt + ω∗
xt = 1, (4.14)
ωyt + ω∗
yt = 1, (4.15)
cxt + c∗
xt = xt, (4.16)
cyt + c∗
yt = yt. (4.17)
Digression on the social optimum. You can solve the model by grinding
out the equilibrium, but the complete markets and competitive setting
makes available a ëbackdoorí solution strategy of solving the problem
confronting a fictitious social planner. The stochastic dynamic barter
economy can conceptually be reformulated in terms of a static competitive general equilibrium modelóthe properties of which are well known.
The reformulation goes like this.
We want to narrow the definition of a ëgoodí so that it is defined
precisely by its characteristics (whether it is an x−good or a y−good),
the date of its delivery (t), and the state of the world when it is delivered
(xt, yt). Suppose that there are only two possible values for xt (yt) in