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ISBN: 0-309-08466-0, 96 pages, 6x9, (2002)
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Weather Radar Technology Beyond NEXRAD
Committee on Weather Radar Technology Beyond
NEXRAD, National Research Council
Committee on Weather Radar Technology Beyond NEXRAD
Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate
Division on Earth and Life Studies
National Research Council
NATIONAL ACADEMY PRESS
Washington, D.C.
Copyright © National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.
Weather Radar Technology Beyond NEXRAD
http://www.nap.edu/catalog/10394.html
NATIONAL ACADEMY PRESS • 2101 Constitution Avenue, N.W. • Washington, DC 20418
NOTICE: The project that is the subject of this report was approved by the Governing Board of the
National Research Council, whose members are drawn from the councils of the National Academy of
Sciences, the National Academy of Engineering, and the Institute of Medicine. The members of the
committee responsible for the report were chosen for their special competences and with regard for
appropriate balance.
This study was supported by Contract No. 56-DKNA-1-95101 between the National Academy of
Sciences and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), Contract No.
DTFA0101G10185 between the National Academy of Sciences and the Federal Aviation Administration, and Grant No. N00014-00-1-0912 between the National Academy of Sciences and the Office of
Naval Research. Additional funding was provided by the U.S. Air Force through the NOAA contract.
The views and any opinions, findings, conclusions, or recommendations expressed in this publication
are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of the organizations or agencies that
provided support for the project.
International Standard Book Number 0-309-08466-0
Additional copies of this report are available from National Academy Press, 2101 Constitution
Avenue, N.W., Lockbox 285, Washington, DC 20055; (800) 624-6242 or (202) 334-3313 (in the
Washington metropolitan area); Internet, http://www.nap.edu
Printed in the United States of America
Copyright 2002 by the National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.
Copyright © National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.
Weather Radar Technology Beyond NEXRAD
http://www.nap.edu/catalog/10394.html
National Academy of Sciences
National Academy of Engineering
Institute of Medicine
National Research Council
The National Academy of Sciences is a private, nonprofit, self-perpetuating society of distinguished
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government, the public, and the scientific and engineering communities. The Council is administered
jointly by both Academies and the Institute of Medicine. Dr. Bruce M. Alberts and Dr. William A.
Wulf are chair and vice-chair, respectively, of the National Research Council.
Copyright © National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.
Weather Radar Technology Beyond NEXRAD
http://www.nap.edu/catalog/10394.html
Copyright © National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.
Weather Radar Technology Beyond NEXRAD
http://www.nap.edu/catalog/10394.html
v
COMMITTEE ON WEATHER RADAR TECHNOLOGY
BEYOND NEXRAD
PAUL L. SMITH (chair), South Dakota School of Mines and Technology,
Rapid City
DAVID ATLAS, Consultant, Bethesda, Maryland
HOWARD B. BLUESTEIN, University of Oklahoma, Norman
V. CHANDRASEKAR, Colorado State University, Fort Collins
EUGENIA KALNAY, University of Maryland, College Park
R. JEFFREY KEELER, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder,
Colorado
JOHN McCARTHY, Naval Research Laboratory, Monterey, California
STEVEN A. RUTLEDGE, Colorado State University, Fort Collins
THOMAS A. SELIGA, Volpe National Transportation Systems Center,
Cambridge, Massachusetts
ROBERT J. SERAFIN, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder,
Colorado
F. WESLEY WILSON, JR., National Center for Atmospheric Research,
Boulder, Colorado
NATIONAL RESEARCH COUNCIL STAFF
VAUGHAN C. TUREKIAN, Study Director
DIANE L. GUSTAFSON, Administrative Associate
ROB GREENWAY, Project Assistant
ELIZABETH A. GALINIS, Project Assistant
Copyright © National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.
Weather Radar Technology Beyond NEXRAD
http://www.nap.edu/catalog/10394.html
vi
BOARD ON ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES AND CLIMATE
ERIC J. BARRON (chair), Pennsylvania State University, University Park
RAYMOND J. BAN, The Weather Channel, Inc., Atlanta, Georgia
ROBERT C. BEARDSLEY, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institute,
Massachusetts
ROSINA M. BIERBAUM, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor
HOWARD B. BLUESTEIN, University of Oklahoma, Norman
RAFAEL L. BRAS, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge
STEVEN F. CLIFFORD, University of Colorado/CIRES, Boulder
CASSANDRA G. FESEN, University of Texas, Dallas
GEORGE L. FREDERICK, Vaisala, Inc., Boulder, Colorado
JUDITH L. LEAN, Naval Research Laboratory, Washington, D.C.
MARGARET A. LEMONE, National Center for Atmospheric Research,
Boulder, Colorado
MARIO J. MOLINA, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge
MICHAEL J. PRATHER, University of California, Irvine
WILLIAM J. RANDEL, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder,
Colorado
RICHARD D. ROSEN, Atmospheric & Environmental Research, Inc.,
Lexington, Massachusetts
THOMAS F. TASCIONE, Sterling Software, Bellevue, Nebraska
JOHN C. WYNGAARD, Pennsylvania State University, University Park
EX OFFICIO MEMBERS
EUGENE M. RASMUSSON, University of Maryland, College Park
ERIC F. WOOD, Princeton University, New Jersey
NATIONAL RESEARCH COUNCIL STAFF
CHRIS ELFRING, Director
ELBERT W. (JOE) FRIDAY, JR., Senior Scholar
PETER A. SCHULTZ, Senior Program Officer
LAURIE S. GELLER, Senior Program Officer
VAUGHAN C. TUREKIAN, Program Officer
DIANE L. GUSTAFSON, Administrative Associate
ROB GREENWAY, Project Assistant
ELIZABETH A. GALINIS, Project Assistant
ROBIN MORRIS, Financial Officer
Copyright © National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.
Weather Radar Technology Beyond NEXRAD
http://www.nap.edu/catalog/10394.html
vii
Preface
Weather radar is a vital instrument for observing the atmosphere to help
provide weather forecasts and issue weather warnings to the public. The current
Next Generation Weather Radar (NEXRAD) system provides Doppler radar coverage to most regions of the United States (NRC, 1995). This network was
designed in the mid 1980s and deployed in the 1990s as part of the National
Weather Service (NWS) modernization (NRC, 1999). Since the initial design
phase of the NEXRAD program, considerable advances have been made in radar
technologies and in the use of weather radar for monitoring and prediction. The
development of new technologies provides the motivation for appraising the
status of the current weather radar system and identifying the most promising
approaches for the development of its eventual replacement.
The charge to the committee was:
To determine the state of knowledge regarding ground-based weather surveillance radar technology and identify the most promising approaches for the
design of the replacement for the present Doppler Weather Radar. Specifically,
the committee will:
1. Examine the state of the present radar technologies;
2. Identify new processes for data analyses; and
3. Estimate the maturity of the various capabilities and identify the most
promising approaches.
Copyright © National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.
Weather Radar Technology Beyond NEXRAD
http://www.nap.edu/catalog/10394.html
viii PREFACE
The committee included experts in radar technologies, meteorological applications, computer-processing capabilities for data handling, and application to
numerical models.
To perform the charge, the committee held three information-gathering
meetings. During the first meeting in April 2001, the sponsoring agencies
[National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), Federal Aviation
Administration (FAA), U.S. Air Force (USAF), and U.S. Navy] provided briefings on their weather radar related activities and potential future needs. During
the second and third meetings (September 2001 and November 2001), experts in
radar design and application briefed the committee on current and anticipated
developments.
This report presents a first look at potential approaches for future upgrades to or replacements of the current weather radar system. The need, and
schedule, for replacing the current system has not been established, but the committee used the briefings and deliberations to assess how the current system
satisfies the current and emerging needs of the operational and research communities and identified potential system upgrades for providing improved weather
forecasts and warnings. The time scale for any total replacement of the system
(20- to 30-year time horizon) precluded detailed investigation of the designs and
cost structures associated with any new weather radar system. The committee
instead noted technologies that could provide improvements over the capabilities
of the evolving NEXRAD system and recommends more detailed investigation
and evaluation of several of these technologies. In the course of its deliberations,
the committee developed a sense that the processes by which the eventual replacement radar system is developed and deployed could be as significant as the
specific technologies adopted. Consequently, some of the committee’s recommendations deal with such procedural issues.
The report is divided into seven chapters. Chapter 1 notes the role of
radar as one important part of the broader weather and climate observing and
predicting system. Chapter 2 presents a brief overview of the current, but evolving, NEXRAD system and describes some of the shortcomings that advanced
radar and supporting technologies might help to overcome. Chapter 3 reviews
those advanced technologies that appear to offer promising opportunities for
improving upon the capabilities possessed by the NEXRAD system. Chapter 4
describes variety of network configurations and novel platforms that might be
part of a future radar observing system. Then Chapter 5 considers ways in which
the improved capabilities of the next generation radar system would enhance the
products used to support the primary functions of weather observing and forecasting. Recommendations developed from the earlier discussions are summarized in Chapter 6, and Chapter 7 presents some concluding remarks.
Because the subject of this report is radar technology, much of the text
(especially chapter 3) uses highly technical terminology. Readers unfamiliar with
this terminology may consult IEEE (1990), Barton et al. (1991), Doviak and
Copyright © National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.
Weather Radar Technology Beyond NEXRAD
http://www.nap.edu/catalog/10394.html