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Invent Business Opportunities No One Else Can Imagine
40
Who will be your future competitors? Besides traditional competitors, this
includes entire industries that might one day constitute competition. For
instance, Microsoft and First Data Corporation produce on-line bill-paying
software, which allows consumers to pay bills with the stroke of a computer key—no need to write checks provided by a local bank. Monster.com
advertises jobs on-line nationwide, threatening one of the newspaper
industry’s main revenue sources.
What will be your future products and services? Go beyond product line
extensions to invent products and services that introduce new value to
targeted markets. Which of your current customer segments are defi ning
value differently? For example, has the Internet caused them to defi ne convenience of service by a new standard?
How will you go to market? The we’ve-always-done-it-this-way approach
to sales and distribution should be treated as ripe for transformation.
Stockbrokers did virtually all their business by phone, until Charles Schwab
and E-Trade introduced on-line trading. Insurance policies, formerly sold
exclusively by agents calling on prospects, are now available on-line. Manufacturers like Nike are jostling the supply channel by building their own
retail stores and providing on-line ordering.
What core competencies will set you apart? In his book Competing for the Future,
leading strategist Gary Hamel defi ned a core competency as, “a bundle of
skills and technologies that enables a company to provide a particular benefi t to customers.” For example, Cisco’s competence in managing strategic
partnerships offers a steady supply of leading-edge technology solutions
to key accounts. Starbucks’ brand management gives customers a reliable
quality assurance behind its products. Nike’s product design satisfi es the
performance requirements of athletes and provides fashion for style-conscious consumers. Subway International’s competence in franchise operations insures convenient access to products and consistent quality across
the chain of stores.
What will be your primary competitive advantage? The strategic considerations of the fi rst six elements ultimately comprise the source of a trendsetter’s competitive advantage—how they deliver compelling and original
value to their customers.
Job #1: Inventing the Future
41
Rather than assuming current industry conditions will remain
unchanged, imaginative future planning anticipates potential cat burglars
and capitalizes on their destabilizing impact on the marketplace. The envisioned strategic position—all seven elements—represents an enormous
stretch from current reality and cannot be achieved in the short term.
Plotting backward from the ultimate long-term strategic position,
trendsetters determine a sequence of yearly foundational milestones, which
describe the gradual changes in knowledge, technology, skills, culture, organizational structure, and network of strategic alliances that comprise the
journey to the intended strategic position.
In a fi ve-year plan, for example, imaginative future planning looks at
the desired strategic position in fi ve years and breaks it down to a sequence
of milestones that build on each other. It asks the questions: To reach our
intended strategic position fi ve years from now, where do we need to be in
four years? Three years? Two? One?
Ultimately, this sequence of foundational milestones aligns today’s priorities and actions with tomorrow’s envisioned strategic position.
Figure 2.1 on page 42 is an imaginative future planning tool used by my
clients to insure that they systematically examine the various elements of a
strategic position over a 10-year period. Here’s how to use it:
By comparing your company’s position fi ve years ago to where it is
today, you can diagram the historical progression of your strategy. Fill
in the seven elements of a strategic position for both the “5 years ago”
column and the “today” column. What does the comparison reveal? Is the
strategy basically incrementalism, with no substantial change in strategic
position over fi ve years? Or do glaring changes in several of the seven elements indicate a commitment to carving out a strategically advantageous
position?
The goal of strategic innovation is to reach different answers for some,
if not all, of the elements for the column labeled “3-5 years from now.”
Once the new elements are decided, write them on the chart, and compare
them to the “today” column to notice the proposed degree of change. This
comparison prevents settling for play-it-safe incrementalism.