Hoạch định chính sách tài chính thời hậu khủng hoảng

Nghidn cufu - Trao dOi

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INSTITUTE OF FINANCIAL TRAtHIMC

OU AN H d TRO PHAN TtCH CNlNH SACH TAJ CMlHM

SUPPORT FOR PUBLIC FIKANClAt fOLtCY ANALYSIS PROJECT

HOI THAO VE HOACH M CHiNH SACH lAI CHINH IH ^ KY HA;i KHUNG HOANG

WORKSHOP ON FINANCIAL POLICY MAKING IN THE PERIOD OF POST • CRISIS

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Hoach iTinh chinh sach tai chinh • a

thai hgu kinung hoang

Voi muc dich bdn thdo, trao doi kinli ngliiem, dao ra

ntiQng gidi phdp doi moi cininh sdch tdi chinh thdi ky

hqu khung hodng cua Viet Nam, Trudng Boi dudng

cdn bp tdi chinh dd phoi hgp vdi Du dn Ho tro phdn

tich chfnh sdch tdi chinh do UNDP tdi trg dd to chue

hgi thdo thu hut su tham gia cua ddng ddo cdc

chuyen gia kinh te, nhd hogch djnh chinh sdch, nhd

qudn ly trong vd ngodi nude.

^ Bai va anh: VIET TUAN

Nen kinh te van con khong it

khd khan

Phat bieu khai mac, Thu

trudng BTC Nguyln Huu Chi

nhan dinh. mac dii den nay cd the

khang dinh. viee cai each cac

chinh sach tai chinh - tien te linh

hoat, chii dong ciia Viet Nam da

gdp phan thao go khd khan trong

san xuiit kinh doanh. ngan chan

da suy giiim. \i the nen kinh te da

tru vdng. tiing bude phuc hdi. Tuy

nhien. van ciin nghien curu. xem

xet cac the che tiii chinh de phat

hien nhirng biii cap. tir do cd chien

luoc hoach djnh chinh sach tai

chinh - lien te theo hmmg ddi

mdi, CO cau lai nen kinh te, dam

biio sir phat trien ben virng.

Nhan dinh nhiing tac dong ro

net nhat ciia khiing hoang den nen

kinh te Viet Nam. chuyen gia

Nhdm Tu van chinh sach BTC,

ong Pham Van Ha cho rang, tdng

cau hang hoa dich vu giam dang

ke, tin dung bi thu hep, thu hiit

FDI giam manh, thi trudng bat

dong san sut giam ca vd giao dich

va gia tri, dac biet la thi trudng

chung khoan dudng nhu hut hoi;

hoat dong san xuat kinh doanh

ciia hau het cac doanh nghiep

(DN) gap nhidu khd khan. Nhung,

cung vdri cac chinh sach vi mo ciia

Chinh phii. nhdm ehinh sach tai

chinh lien le, bao gdm: Chinh

r

sach hd trg lai suat; ha lai suat ca

ban tir 14% xudng cdn 7-8%;

giam ty le du trir bat buoc tir 5%

xudng 3%, yeu cau cac ngan hang

thucmg mai tang vdn dieu le;

chuang trinh miln, gian, giam

thue; giai phap bd sung vdn dau tu

phat trien thong qua viee cho ung

trudc cac ngudn vdn, tang chi an

sinh xa hoi, ho trg cac hg ngheo;

cac quyet djnh khong pha gia

ddng tien, dieu chinh bien do giao

djch ty gia linh hoat, giam bdt

cang thang tren thj trudng ngoai

te; sir dung du tru can thiep thj

trudng tai chinh... da dat ket qua

kha quan, dugc cac chuyen gia

kinh te, cac td chiic tai chinh qudc

te thCta nhan va danh gia cao.

Thao luan ve nhiing thach thu:c,

cac chuyen gia nhan manh, nen

kinh te Viet Nam van dang phai

ddi mat vcri khong it khd khan nhu:

Nhu cau tieu diing cac mat hang

san xuat trong nude tang cham

trong khi nhu cau ben ngoai se khd

tang dot bien; thj trudng ngoai it

van cang thang; ngan hang thieu

vdn, dan den chay dua tang lai suat

huy dgng vdn, dac biet nguy cd

lam phat cao trd lai vin dang la

mdi lo ciia du luan va xa hgi. Dd la

bai loan ddi hdi cac nha hoach

djnh chinh sach vi mo ndi chung

va chinh sach tai chinh - tien te ndi

rieng can nghien cuu ky trudc khi

Thue Nha Nuoc s o 1(1(272)- KY 2 V2(I10