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(^So5 (58) - 2008) NGHIEN CCrU - TRAO DOI

Hoat ddng xudi ciia nudc

ta nhtmg ndm qua da dat dupc

nhirng ket qua tuang ddi kha

quan the hien tren cac mat :

Thir nhat, qui mo vd tdc

dp tdng tricdng xudt khdu deu

tdng nhanh vd la dgng life

quan trgng de tdng triCdng

kinh te.

- Ve hang hoa: kim ngach

xud't khau hang hod d nudc ta

nhtrng ndm qua tdng len kha

nhanh (Tham khao sd lieu

tren bieu 1)

Bleu 1: Kim ngach xuat khau hang

hoa is nUoic ta nhiimg nam qua

Dan VI: Trieu USD

Mm

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

Gii tri

XK

14.482,7

15.029,5

16.706,1

20.149,3

26.485,0

32447.0

39.826,2

46.560,0

T6c

do

ling

(%|

25,5

3,8

11,2

20,6

31,4

22,5

22,7

21,9

Gii Iri

NK

15.636,5

16.217,9

19.745,6

25.255,8

31.968,6

36.761,1

44.891,1

62.680,0

Toe

do

ting

(%)

33,2

3,7

21,3

27,9

26,6

15,0

22,1

39,6

Cin cin

tlii/ong

mai

-1.153,8

•1.188,7

•3.039,5

-5.106,5

•5.483,8

-4.314,

•5.064,9

•14.120,0

Tile

nhip

sieu

(%)

8,0

7,9

18,2

25,3

20,7

13,3

12,7

29,1

*Nam 2007 la udc tinh

[Nguon: Kinh te 2007-2008,

VietNam va Thegidi]

Bieu tren cho tha'y: So nam

2007 vdi ndm 2000 thi gia tri

xua't khau hang hoa tang 3,28

ldn (ttrc la tdng 34131,3 trieu

USD), mpt td'c dp tdng nhanh

hon nhieu nudc trong khu

vuc. Ti le xud't khau hang hod

so vdi GDP tang lien tuc qua

cac nam, ndm 2000 la 45,4%,

ndm 2001 la 46,3%, nam

2002 la 47,6%, nam 2003 la

50,6%, ndm 2004 la 58,4%,

ndm 2005 la 61,1%, ndm

2006 la 63,3%, ndm 2007 udc

tfnh la 68,3%, chi tieu nay

ciia nudc ta vao loai cao tren

the gidi bdi binh qudn toan

the gidi chi dat khoang 22%,

hien tai chi tieu nay ciia nudc

ta dimg thir 7 tren the gidi chj

sau cac nudc va vting lanh tho

la Singapore 169%, Hong 40%), nhdm hang khdc cd xu

kdng 159%, Mailaixia 107%, hudng giam ddn (Ndm 2001

CUA VIET NAM DEN NAM 2010 ?

Brunei 99%, Thai lan 91%,

Vuang qud'c Bi 88%.

- Vd dich vu: So vdi hang

hoa thl kim ngach xud't khau

dich vu tang chdm ban, nam

2001 Id 3317 trilu USD, ndm

2002 la 3714 trieu USD, nam

2003 la 4227 trieu USD, ndm

2004 la 4887 trieu USD, ndm

2005 la 5650 trieu USD, ndm

2007 6399 trieu USD. Ti le

xua't khau djch vy so vdi GDP

qua cac ndm khdng dn dinh

vd khd thd'p cu the la: nam

2001: 9,5%, ndm 2002: 10%,

nam 2003: 10,5%, ndm 2004:

11,3%, ndm 2005: 12%, ndm

2006: 6,3%, ndm 2007: 6,9%.

Chi tieu nay so vdi cac nudc

trong khu vuc vao loai thd'p,

didu dd cho thd'y cdc boat

dpng djch vu cua Viet Nam

chua phat trien, mac dti gia trj

xud't khdu cdc dich vu nhtmg

ndm qua vdn tdng nhung mirc

tdng rd't chdm.

Thur hai, ca cd'u mat hdng

xudt khdu cd sif thay ddi theo

hicdng ngdy cdng hgp ly han.

Sd lieu thdng ke qua cac

ndm cho thd'y, ti trpng nhdm

hang ndng, ldm, thuy san

giam ddn (Ndm 2001 la

24,3%, ndm 2007 udc tfnh la

20%), nhdm hang nhien lieu,

khodng san cung giam dan

(Ndm 2001 la 21,6%, ndm

2007 udc tfnh 21%), nhdm

hang cdng nghiep, thii cdng

ml nghe tdng dan (Ndm 2001

33,9%, ndm 2007 udc tfnh

PGS. TS. Nguyen Tien Thuan

20,2%, nam 2007 udc tfnh

19%). Sy thay ddi theo hudng

tren la hoan toan hpp ly theo

tfnh qui ludt song dang tiee la

td'c dp thay ddi rd't chdm nen

ddn den gia tri kim nghach

xud't khau thd'p vd hieu qua

kinh te khdng cao.

Thur ba, ca cd'u thi tricdng

xud't khdu cd sif thay ddi ddng

ke dd giiip cho hogt dpng xudt

khdu tdng vdi tdc dp khd

nhanh. Cdc thi triCdng mdi

xdm nhdp cd hieu qud trong

khi vdn giiC dicgc viec khai

thdc cdc tin triCdng truyen

thd'ng khd tdt.

Mac dti thj trudng chdu A

vdn gili vi trf kha quan trpng

ddi vdi hoat dpng xua't khdu

cua nudc ta nhiing ndm qua

nhung dang cd xu hudng

giam dan (Ndm 2001 la

57,3%, ndm 2007 udc tinh

khoang 50%), thj trudng chau

Au khdng cd su bien dpng

nhieu ve ti trpng qua cac nam

chiem khoang 20%, thj trudng

chdu My tdng kha nhanh

(Trong dd chu ye'u la thj

trudng Hoa ky) ndm 2001 la

8,9%, nam 2007 la 25%

(Rieng thi trudng Hoa ky tdng

ttr 7,1% nam 2001 len 23%

ndm 2007), thi trudng chdu

Phi va chdu Dai duang tang

cham, khdng cd sy bien doi

nhieu qua cac nam.

Thur tir, cdc chii the tham

gia hogt ddng xudt khdu ngdy

Tgp chi nghien cCru Tdi chinh k§ todn C61