Ưu tiên kiềm chế lạm phát

iTu ti6n kidm chd lam phat

Niu dn dinh kinh t i vl md

la uu tien, thi kiim chi

lam phat hien nay Id uu

tien sd mdt- uu tien eua uu tien.

Dat van di nhu vay Id xudt phdt tii

kit qua budc ddu cua mdt sd van

di kinh te vi md khac va su ndng

len eua van di lam phdt. Mae dii

mdi Id kit qua budc ddu vd cdn cd

ban chi, cdn diing trudc khdng ft

nhiing khd khan, thach thiic,

nhung nhiiu ehi tieu da ed tfn

hieu tuong ddi kha quan. Tang

trudng GDP gdn nhu chdc chdn

cao ban nam trudc, vugt muc tieu

de ra va dang tren dudng tiin tdi

phuc hdi. Nhap sieu giam so vdi

nam trude vd thap hon k i hoach

ca nam ve kim ngach tuyet ddi, ca

vi ty le nhap sieu. Bdi chi ngan

sdch so vdi GDP vita thdp hon

nam trudc, vuta thdp hen du todn

ma Qud'c hdi da phd duyet,...

Rieng lam phdt dang la vdn di

ndng, khi gid tieu dung thdng 11 so

vdi thdng 10 tang 1,86 %, cao nhat

so vdi td'e do tang ciia thdng 11 tfnh

tut nam 1993 din nay, cao thii 2 so

vdi td'e do tang eua 28 thang trude

dd; sau 11 thang (uic la thang

Ji^ PHUONG NGOC MINH

11/2010 so vdi thdng 12/2009) da

tang tdi 9,58 %, vugt so vdi muc

tieu (khdng qud 7%) ma Qud'c hdi

da phe duyet, vugt muc tieu (khdng

qua 8%) ma Chinh phu diiu chinh

va niu khdng cd bien phdp quyit

het, ddng bd thi viec giii d miic mdt

chu sd nhu chu truong gdn day

ciing khdng di dang, bdi tdc ddng

"cdng hudng" cua nhieu yeu to d

ttong nude vd qude ti.

Ngoai cdc yiu td tiim dn, nhu

ddu to cao (6 thdng ddu nam len

den 45,6%/GDP, udc ca nam vdn

d miic tren 42%- cao nhdt the

gidi) trong khi hieu qua ddu to

vdn cdn thdp; nang sudt lao ddng

thap; bdi chi ngan sdch tuy thdp

hen nam trudc va Du toan nam

nhung niu tfnh ea trai phiiu chfnh

phu thi vdn cdn cao (trin

7%GDP); tang trudng du ng tfn

dung toy thdp hen ciing ky nam

trudc, nhung vdn cdn cao hen

nhiiu so vdi tdc do tang GDP vd

dugc tfnh tren so gdc so sanh Idn

hon, nen quy md tfn dung cao

hon; cdn cd mdt sd yiu td mdi

lien quan din ea ehi phf ddy, ca

cdu keo. Chi phf ddy tang chu yiu

Kinh Vb - Na hOi

do hai yeu td. Yiu td thii nhat la

viec thuc hien Id trinh gia thi

trudng ddi vdi mdt sd hang hda,

dich vu trong nude. Yiu td thii hai

Id gid nhap khdu tang (tfnh tten 10

nhdm hang tfnh dugc don gia

chung da tang tang khoang 22%);

cdng hudng vdi ty gia tang (ty gia

VND/USD bmh quan 10 thang

nam nay so vdi cimg ky nam trudc

tang 7,21%, ty gid VND/mdt sd

ngoai te khdc cdn tang cao hen do

cdc ngoai te nay cdn tang gid so

vdi USD), lam cho gia nhap khdu

tfnh bdng VND tang kip (vita

tang do tfnh bang ngoai te tang,

viia tang do ty gia VND/ngoai te

tang). Cdu kio tang chii yiu do

tieu thu trong nude tang va xudt

khdu tang. Tidu thu trong nude thi

hien chu yen d tdng miic ban le

hdng hda va doanh thu dich vu

tieu diing niu loai trit yiu td gid

da tang tdi 15%, cao gap nidi tdc

do tang eua ciing ky nam trudc.

Kim ngach xudt khdu tang

khoang 23%, ngugc chiiu so vdi

nam trude (nam trude giam), vita

cao hon tdc do tang 6% theo muc

tieu, viia cao gap nhieu Idn tdc do

tang GDP. Ngoai ra thien tai dich

benh vura Idm giam ngudn cung,

viia lam tang cau. Dd la chua ndi,

cd nhd ddu to, ca ngudi tieu dhng

diu lo sg lam phdt, lo sg su mdt

gia cua ddng tiin ddi vdi hang

hda, dich vu (thang 10/2010 so

vdi thang 12/2003, gid tieu diing

da tang tdi 95,8%- ddng nghia vdi

site mua cua ddng tiin da bi gidm

tdi gdn 49%, hay 100 nghin ddng,

nay siic mua chi cdn 51 nghin

ddng); hen thi niia cdn so sdnh

vdi gid vang (gia vang thdng

10/2010 da cao gdp gdn 6,4 Idn so

vdi thdng 12/2000), to dd lam cho

yen to tam Iy cdng nang hen.

Lam phat khdng chi la van di

kinh te vi md. Id mdt "dinh" ciia

"to giac muc tieu" (tang trudng

kinh ti, lam phat, tha't nghiep, can

can thanh toan), ma quan trgng

hen vi thiit than hang ngay ddi vdi

ngudi tieu dung, dae biet la ngudi

thu nhap thap, thu nhap cd dinh •

so 47 (309) - KY 3/12/2010 • ThUB Nha NUflfC 25