Trung Quốc có thể sớm tăng giá đồng NDT

TAI CHiNH QU6C TE ( Sd 04 (81)-2010 )

T

TRUNG QUOC CO THE SOfM TANG GIA

DONG NDT

ung Qudc dang dffng trffdc sffc ep ngdy cdng tdng tff cdc ddi tdc thffdng mgi ndi long kiem

sodt tien te, vd dffa ra nhffng dd'u hieu cho thdy hp cd the tdng gid ddng nhdn ddn te (NDT)

de gidm bdt nhffng cdng thdng dd'i vdi nen kinh te'dang tdng nhanh ndy.

Cdc nha kinh te'cho rang,

mot ddng NDT manh cd the

giup cdc nha lanh dao Trung

Qud'c dat dffdc muc Heu lam

cho nen kinh te tff chd'ng dd

dffdc hdn bang each thue day

sffc mua ciia ngffdi Heu diing

vd giam phu thuoc vdo xua't

kha'u va dau tff. Dieu chinh

ddng NDT .se giiip bdt nhffng

cdng thdng vdi My, chau Au

biet My se cd thai dp "cffng

ran hdn" trong cuoc sung dot

thffdng mai vdi Trung Qud'c

va gay sffc ep ddi Bac Kinh

cham dfft chinh sach tien te

ma dng coi la da dat cac cdng

ty My vao the bat ldi. Bd Tdi

chinh My tffng tuyen bd' Bdc

Kinh da thao tiing ddng ndi te,

trong bdo cao se dffdc dffa ra

Mdt ddng NDT manh

hdn se giup Bac Kinh trd lai

quy dao tang sffc mua ciia cdc

hp gia dinh sau gdi kich thich

kinh te 4.000 ty NDT (586 ty

USD), nhffng lai 1dm gia tdng

phu thuoc vdo dau tff, khien

vipc tao cdng an viec lam cho

ngffdi lao ddng trd len khd

khdn. Michael PetHs, Gido sff

tdi chinh tai trffdng quan 1)' thang 4 tdi, khdi dau cho sff

va cac dd'i tdc thffdng mai phan nan len To chffc Thffdng Guaghaua Dai hpc Bdc Kinh

khdc, vd'n thffdng phdn nan mai The'gidi (WTO) vd nhffng ndi: "Trung Qud'c dang trong

trffng phat cd the cd dd'i vdi

hdng hod Trung Qud'c;

ddng NDT yeu dem lai the ca-

. nh tranh xua't kha'u khdng cdng

bdng cho Trung Qud'c va cd

the keo ddi cuoc khung hoang

kinh te toan cau. Mot so' nghj

sy My keu gpi dp dung thue'

trffng phat ddi vdi hang hod

cua Trung Qudc, neu Bac Kinh

khdng hdnh dpng.

My va Chau Au da bdt

phdn nan ve chinh sdch tien

te ciia Bdc Kinh, khi kinh te'

toan cau cd dau hieu phuc

hdi. Nhffng trffdc sffc ep kidn

tao viec lam, hp va nhieu

chinh phii, ke ca nffdc xa xdi

la Braxin, da nhdc lai nhffng

yeu cau ddi Trung Qud'c hanh

ddng. Dau thang 2/2010, tdng

thd'ng My Barack Obama cho

Nam 2009, tham hut

thffdng mai ciia My vdi Trung

Qudc la 227 ty USD, giam

15% so vdi nam trffdc dd,

nhffng van nam trong mffc

tham hut cao chffa tffng cd.

Lien minh chau Au (EU)

thdng bao tham hut thffdng

mai vdi Trung Qud'c la 88 ty

USD trong nffa dau nam 2009.

Mdt nhdm nghj sy thuoc

hai Dang Dan chii vd Cong hoa

d My da gffi thff cho Bp trffdng

Thffdng mai My ddi dieu tra

xem Bdc kinh cd giiip cac cdng

ty Trung Qud'c ha tha'p gia trj

ddng NDT hay khdng.

giai doan can bdng khd thffc

hien de can bdng lai nen kinh

te' lam cho va'n de that nghiep

tram trpng hdn". Theo cdc nhd

phan tich, Trung Qud'c cd the

nang gid ddng NDT giffa ndm

nay neu xua't kha'u tdng. Dieu

nay cd the trung hdp vdi cuoc

hpp vao thdng 6 tdi, thdi diem

dien ra cuoc dd'i thoai chie'n

Iffdc My - Trung, ndi My dff

djnh se dffa va'n de tien tp lam

chu de thao luan ffu tien.

Nhffng hp ndi rdng ba't ky

sff tdng gid nao cung nen tff tff

nhdm thu hep tham hut thffdng

mai ciia My, chau Au vd tao ra

viec lam. Nicholas Consonery,

mdt nha phan Hch d Washing￾ton cho hang tff va'n Au - A,

<(66)> Tap chf nghien cufu Tdi chfnh ke'todn