Tổng quan về xuất nhập khẩu hàng hoá của Việt Nam 2010 và triển vọng năm 2011

TON G QUA N V E XUA T NHA P KHA U HAN G HO A

C U A VIE T NA M NA M 201 0 V A TRIE N VON G NA M 201 1

GS.TS. DANG DINH DAO'*',

ThS. PHOXAY SITTHYSONH,

ThS. DANG TH| THUY HONG

N am 2010 la nam cudi cung

cua Ke" hogch phdt trien kinh

te - xd hdi 5 ndm 2006-2010,

Chien lUdc phdt trien kinh te - xd hdi

10 ndm 2001-2010 vd Id ndm thd 4

nUdc ta dUdc hudng quy che thdnh

vien cua To chdc ThUdng mai The

gidi (WTO). BUdc vdo ndm 2010, tinh

hinh kinh te the gidi vd trong nUdc cd

nhieu diSn bien khdng thudn, cu the

Id: kinh te the' gidi vda budc ra khdi

giai dogn khd khdn nhd't cua cudc

khung hodng tdi chinh vd suy thoai

kinh te, budc ddu phuc hdi nhUng

cdn tiem dn nhieu khd khdn, thach

thUc; ngay td nhUng thdng ddu ndm,

gid cd thi trUdng trong nUdc cd xu

hUdng tdng, thdm hut thUdng mgi

ldn, thanh khoan cua nhieu nQdn

hang khd khdn. ldi sua't tin dung cao,

cdc doanh nghiep khd tiep can

nguon vd'n, sdn xud't, kinh daanh gap

nhieu khd khdn... Etieu ndy dd tdc

ddng khdng nhd tdi hogt ddng xud't

nhdp khdu cua nddc ta. Tuy nhien,

vdi viec thUc hien mgnh me chu

trUdng ddy mgnh xud't khdu, nd lUc

cua cdc ngdnh vd cac doanh

nghiep, hogt dQng xud't khdu dd lay

lgi vd duy tri td'c dtp tdng trudng cao

vd vUdt xa ke" hogch de ra.

In 2010, despite unfavourable economic conditions in both inter￾national and domestic markets, thanks to drastic Implementation of

measures to promote exports and efforts of all sectors, especially

enterprises, exports regained momentum and were valued at 71.63

billion USD with a 25.5% record high increase over last year. Import

increased by 16.5% to 81.5 billions USD.

In 2011, economic prospects and import demands in major mar￾kets seem to look not so bright, negatively affecting export activities

of Vietnam. Nevertheless, in 2011, our economy will benefit from sev￾eral favourable conditions such as: Vietnam became a middle￾Income country; many industries regained momentum after dipping in

global recession time...

In order to accomplish export targets set forth for 2011, It is advis￾able for Vietnam to adopt the following strategic measures: to pre￾pare strategy for commodity export for 2011-2020 period and vision

by 2030; to give priority to investments in logistics network; to intensi￾fy research on foreign key markets and their legal documents, espe￾cially those related to technical barriers...

'" Tracing Dqi hoc Kinh te Qudc ddn.

'" Sii dung so lieu theo bdo edo cuo Bd Cdng

ThUdng, m

Ndm 2006: 3.3 ty USD. ndm 2007: 4.05 ty USD;

ndm 2008. 5.2 ty USD. ndm 2009: 4.7 ty USD

I. KHAI QUAT TINH HINH XUAT NHAP KHAU HANG HOA

NAM 2010'"

1. Ve xuat khau hang hoa

Sau 4 n3m gia nhap WTO, mac du dieu kien nen kinh te gap

nhieu kho khan va canh tranh ngay mpt gay git, song xui't khi'u

(XK) hing hoa cua Viet Nam van dat dupe nhQng ke't qui quan

trpng. Trong cic nam 2007 v i 2008, XK hing hoa dat toe dp ting

trUdng cao, vUpt ke hoach de ra. Nam 2009, do tic ddng cua

khung hoing ti i chinh v i suy thoii kinh te toin cau, tinh hinh XK

gap nhieu khd khin, kim ngach XK chi dat 57,1 ty USD, giim

8,9% so vdi nim 2008. Sang nim 2010, mac du nen kinh te cdn

gap nhieu khd khin, nhung tdng kim ngach XK vin dat 71,63 ty

USD, ting 25,5% so vdi nim 2009 - mQc ting cao nha't ke tQ trUdc

tdi nay. Kim ngach XK binh quan mot thing dat gin 6 ty USD'".

Kim ngach XK nam 2010 cao gap 90,7 lin nim 1986, gi'p 29,8

lan nam 1990, gi'p 13,1 lan nam 1995 v i gi'p 4,7 lin nam 2001

(xem bieu do 1).

66 THONG TIN & DU BAO KINH TE - XA HOI So 61+62 (1.2011)