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Mô tả chi tiết

OPTIMAL CONTROL MODELS

IN FINANCE

Applied Optimization

Volume 95

Series Editors:

Panos M. Pardalos

University of Florida, U.S.A.

Donald W. Hearn

University of Florida, U.S.A.

OPTIMAL CONTROL MODELS

IN FINANCE

A New Computational Approach

by

PING CHEN

Victoria University, Melbourne, Australia

SARDAR M.N. ISLAM

Victoria University, Melbourne, Australia

Springer

eBook ISBN: 0-387-23570-1

Print ISBN: 0-387-23569-8

Print ©2005 Springer Science + Business Media, Inc.

All rights reserved

No part of this eBook may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic,

mechanical, recording, or otherwise, without written consent from the Publisher

Created in the United States of America

Boston

©2005 Springer Science + Business Media, Inc.

Visit Springer's eBookstore at: http://ebooks.springerlink.com

and the Springer Global Website Online at: http://www.springeronline.com

Contents

List of Figures

List of Tables

Preface

Introduction

ix

xi

xiii

xv

1. OPTIMAL CONTROL MODELS

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

An Optimal Control Model of Finance

(Karush) Kuhn-Tucker Condition

Pontryagin Theorem

Bang-Bang Control

Singular Arc

Indifference Principle

Different Approaches to Optimal Control Problems

Conclusion

1

2

4

6

7

7

8

10

20

2. THE STV APPROACH TO FINANCIAL OPTIMAL CONTROL

MODELS

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

Introduction

Piecewise-linear Transformation

Non-linear Time Scale Transformation

A Computer Software Package Used in this Study

An Optimal Control Problem When the Control can only Take

the Value 0 or 1

Approaches to Bang-Bang Optimal Control with a Cost of

Changing Control

An Investment Planning Model and Results

21

21

21

23

25

26

27

30

vi OPTIMAL CONTROL MODELS IN FINANCE

8 Financial Implications and Conclusion 36

3. A FINANCIAL OSCILLATOR MODEL

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

Introduction

Controlling a Damped Oscillator in a Financial Model

Oscillator Transformation of the Financial Model

Computational Algorithm: The Steps

Financial Control Pattern

Computing the Financial Model: Results and Analysis

Financial Investment Implications and Conclusion

39

39

40

41

44

47

47

89

4. AN OPTIMAL CORPORATE FINANCING MODEL

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

Introduction

Problem Description

Analytical Solution

Penalty Terms

Transformations for the Computer Software Package for the

Finance Model

Computational Algorithms for the Non-linear Optimal Control

Problem

Computing Results and Conclusion

Optimal Financing Implications

Conclusion

91

91

91

94

98

99

101

104

107

108

5. FURTHER COMPUTATIONAL EXPERIMENTS AND RESULTS

1

2

3

4

Introduction

Different Fitting Functions

The Financial Oscillator Model when the Control Takes Three

Values

Conclusion

109

109

109

120

139

6. CONCLUSION 141

Appendices 145

A CSTVA Program List 145

1

2

3

4

Program A: Investment Model in Chapter 2

Program B: Financial Oscillator Model in Chapter 3

Program C: Optimal Financing Model in Chapter 4

Program D: Three Value-Control Model in Chapter 5

145

149

153

156

Contents vii

B Some Computation Results

1

2

3

4

Results for Program A

Results for Program B

Results for Program C

Results for Program D

C

D

E

F

Differential Equation Solver from the SCOM Package

SCOM Package

Format of Problem Optimization

A Sample Test Problem

161

161

163

167

175

181

183

189

191

References

Index

193

199

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List of Figures

2.1

2.2

2.3

2.4

2.5

2.6

Plot of n=2, forcing function ut=1,0

Plot of n=4, forcing function ut=1,0,1,0

Plot of n=6, forcing function ut= 1,0,1,0,1,0

Plot of n=8, forcing function ut= 1,0,1,0,1,0,1,0

Plot of n=10, forcing function ut= 1,0,1,0,1,0,1,0,1,0

Plot of the values of the objective function to the num￾ber of the switching times

2.7

3.1

3.2

3.3

Plot of the cost function to the cost of switching control

Plot of integral F against 1/ns at ut=-2,2

Plot of integral F against 1/ns at ut=2,-2

Plot of cost function F against the number of large time

intervals nb

5.1

5.2

5.3

5.4

5.5

5.6

5.7

5.8

Plot of n=4, forcing function ut=1,0,1,0

Plot of n=10, forcing function ut= 1,0,1,0,1,0,1,0,1,0

Results of objective function at n=2,4,6,8,10

Plot of n=4, forcing function ut=1,0,1,0

Plot of n=8, forcing function ut=1,0,1,0,1,0,1,0

Plot of n=8, forcing function ut= 1,0,1,0,1,0,1,0

Plot of nb=9, ns=8, forcing function ut=-2,0,2,-2,0,2,-2,0,2

Relationship between two state functions during the

time period 1,0

31

31

32

32

33

34

35

87

87

88

110

112

113

116

117

119

123

123

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List of Tables

2.1

2.2

3.1

3.2

4.1

4.2

4.3

5.1

5.2

5.3

5.4

Objective functions with the number of the switching times

Costs of the switching control attached to the objective

function

Results of the objective function at control pattern -2,2, ...

Results of the objective function at control pattern 2,-2, ...

Computing results for solution case [1]

Computing results for solution case [2]

Computing results for solution case 2 with another map￾ping control

Results of objective function at n=2,4,6,8,10

Results of objective functions at n=2,6,10

Test results of the five methods

Results of financial oscillator model

33

34

48

86

105

106

106

114

118

120

121

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Preface

This book reports initial efforts in providing some useful extensions in fi￾nancial modeling; further work is necessary to complete the research agenda.

The demonstrated extensions in this book in the computation and modeling

of optimal control in finance have shown the need and potential for further

areas of study in financial modeling. Potentials are in both the mathematical

structure and computational aspects of dynamic optimization. There are needs

for more organized and coordinated computational approaches. These exten￾sions will make dynamic financial optimization models relatively more stable

for applications to academic and practical exercises in the areas of financial

optimization, forecasting, planning and optimal social choice.

This book will be useful to graduate students and academics in finance,

mathematical economics, operations research and computer science. Profes￾sional practitioners in the above areas will find the book interesting and infor￾mative.

The authors thank Professor B.D. Craven for providing extensive guidance

and assistance in undertaking this research. This work owes significantly to

him, which will be evident throughout the whole book. The differential equa￾tion solver “nqq” used in this book was first developed by Professor Craven.

Editorial assistance provided by Matthew Clarke, Margarita Kumnick and Tom

Lun is also highly appreciated. Ping Chen also wants to thank her parents for

their constant support and love during the past four years.

PING CHEN AND SARDAR M.N. ISLAM

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