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Tài liệu IS THE CORPORATE BOND MARKET FORWARD LOOKING? doc
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Tài liệu IS THE CORPORATE BOND MARKET FORWARD LOOKING? doc

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ISSN 1561081-0

9 771561 081005

WORKING PAPER SERIES

NO 800 / AUGUST 2007

IS THE CORPORATE

BOND MARKET

FORWARD LOOKING?

by Jens Hilscher

In 2007 all ECB

publications

feature a motif

taken from the

€20 banknote.

WORKING PAPER SERIES

NO 800 / AUGUST 2007

1 This paper is based on chapter 4 of my 2005 Ph.D. thesis entitled “Essays in Financial Economics and Credit Risk” at Harvard

University. I am grateful to John Campbell and Jeremy Stein for their advice and suggestions. I thank an anonymous referee,

Philipp Hartmann, Peter Hecht, Peter Hördahl, Borja Larrain, Monica Singhal, Jan Szilagyi, Josh White, Moto Yogo, and seminar

participants at the Harvard Finance lunch, the Graduate Research Program at the European Central Bank (2003), and the

2004 London Business School Ph.D. Conference for helpful comments and discussions. I also thank Glen Taksler for introducing

me to the NAIC bond data. I thank DG-Research of the ECB and Lutz Kruschwitz at Freie Universität Berlin for their hospitality.

2 International Business School, Brandeis University, 415 South Street, Waltham MA 02453, USA; Phone: 781-736-2261;

e-mail: [email protected].

This paper can be downloaded without charge from

http://www.ecb.int or from the Social Science Research Network

electronic library at http://ssrn.com/abstract_id=1005120.

IS THE CORPORATE

BOND MARKET

FORWARD LOOKING? 1

by Jens Hilscher 2

© European Central Bank, 2007

Address

Kaiserstrasse 29

60311 Frankfurt am Main, Germany

Postal address

Postfach 16 03 19

60066 Frankfurt am Main, Germany

Telephone

+49 69 1344 0

Internet

http://www.ecb.europa.eu

Fax

+49 69 1344 6000

Telex

411 144 ecb d

All rights reserved.

Any reproduction, publication and

reprint in the form of a different

publication, whether printed or

produced electronically, in whole or in

part, is permitted only with the explicit

written authorisation of the ECB or the

author(s).

The views expressed in this paper do not

necessarily reflect those of the European

Central Bank.

The statement of purpose for the ECB

Working Paper Series is available from

the ECB website, http://www.ecb.europa.

eu/pub/scientific/wps/date/html/index.

en.html

ISSN 1561-0810 (print)

ISSN 1725-2806 (online)

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