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Seventy Years of Exploration in Oceanography Part 5 pptx
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Mô tả chi tiết
42 6 Deep Sea Tides 1964–2000
Munk: Cartwright and I proposed what we thought was a significant change in
the method of tide prediction [97]. I will need to write a bit of mathematics. Let
x.t / designate the tide producing forces, y.t / the spike response and z.t / the predicted tide, all referred to one particular tide station. Then the convolution integral
gives the predicted tide, z D x y. The harmonic method consists of evaluating the
station tide spectrum Z.f / from a station record z.t / (using capitals for Fourier
transforms) and then predicting future z.t / from a Fourier transform of Z.f /. The
trouble is that Z.f / is very complex, with the principal diurnal and semidiurnal
lines split by monthly modulation, with further fine splitting by the annual modulation and hyper-fine splitting by the lunar 18.6 year modulation.
The discrete frequencies are not at equal intervals (as in classical harmonic analysis) but occur at fijk D ci cpd C cj cpm C ckcpy C ::: where the c’s are integral
multipliers of the daily, monthly and yearly frequencies. Weak lines are improperly
enhanced by including some of the noise continuum. There is no reference to the
gravitational theory of tides (except for providing the fijk frequencies). In the response method we evaluate the tide producing forces x.t / directly from the known
motions of Earth, Moon and Sun in the time-domain, and then use the station record
z.t / to evaluate the station response y.t / once and for all. It turns out that the station admittance Y .f / is vastly simpler than X.f /; there is no need of evaluating the
infinitely complex spectrum X.f / or Z.f /. In some tests by Zetler et al. [123] the
response method come out better (but only slightly) than the harmonic method.
Hasselmann: So you improved one of the few geophysical predictions that already
work well.
Munk: Guilty. But for very short records (such as the deep-sea recordings) the improvement was substantial.
Hasselmann: How about shallow regions with strong “overtides”?
Munk: That is an important point. For very flat shelves with strong nonlinear interactions the response method can easily be extended by a formalism parallel to
extending a spectrum to a bi-spectrum. . .
Hasselmann: I see. Tukey again to the rescue – although I guess the use of nonlinear
response function expansions in the time domain probably preceded their application in the frequency domain.
Munk: Perhaps, we at any rate were happy to work in either the frequency domain
or time domain, whichever was more efficient for the problem at hand. Essentially
what the response method does is to keep an open mind on what side of the Fourier
transform is more compact. The three-body problem Earth-Moon-Sun has an exceedingly complex spectrum and the time domain is the domain of choice; if our
world were associated with two-body tides (double-star without moons) it could be
the other way around, the harmonic method would be the method of choice.