Hệ dự báo thời tiết với ứng dụng mạng nơron nhân tạo

Nguyen Tan ,An ea Dig "Tap chi KHOA HOC & CONG NGHI 90(02): 65 - 70

HE DL BAO THOI TIET VOT ING DUNG CUA MANG NORON NHAN TAO

Niiuven Tan ,Vn''. Nguyen Quang Hoan"

' Tnr&ng Dai hpc Su Pham Hd \di.

" Hoc rien Bini chinh nen thdng

lOMTA I

Biii bao nay gidi thieu mdt md hinh he thong dir bao su bien ddi cua mdt sd thdng sd thdi tiet dimg

mang naron nhan tao ttVi may tinh ca nhan. So dd khdi cua md hinh. van de huiin luv en mang, van

de tim ra nhung tham sd hgp ly cho md hinh nhu sd naron Idp an. pham t i gia tri khai tao cac

trgng sd, ldc dp huan luyen mang cung dugc thao luan. Gia tri cac tham sd tren cho mdt bai loan

thuc te dii dutic tim bang thuc nghiem. He thdng du bao toi gia tri cac tham sd vira lim dugc kim

t iec lot. Kf;t qua chiiv thii' dugc so sanh vol du lieu thdng ke thuc le.

Tir khoa:,I/a; ;g nirron nhdn luo. dir bdo. dir bdo thr'/i iii't. thucjt lodn lan truyen ngirgc.

GIOI THILU

Du biio la xem xel. diink gia mdl koac mdl

nkdm ciic sii viit. eiic qua trink nao dd (gpi

ckung la ddi tugng du bao) trong mdi lien be

vdi eiic yen td lien quan. tir dd bang nkung

suv luiin klip Iv dua ra nliiing pkan doiin vc

mirc dp liiiv triing lluii eua cluing ti'png

luong lai.

Dir biia co mdl vai trd to kin trong ddi sdng

kink te. xa kdi. D u biio diing se giiip con

ngirdi ra dupe nliCrng quyet dink dimg. Dir

biio sai cd Ike diin den nhfrng tkam hoa

khdn ludng.

Khoa hpc dtr bap dii xuat kicn Ui xa xua.

nkung thdi cd dtr bao dutic liet tao loai kkoa

ktic thiin bi vii cac phuong pkiip dira bao

lliuong chi dira tao kcl qua ikdng ke sau dd

ciin cu tao kink ngkiem sdng eon ngudi dua

ra pkiin doiin ve urong liii. Ngav nay. do tiim

quan trpng cua nd. biii tOiin du bao dii duoc

chii y diing nitre va dir biio da tro tkiink mdt

ngiinh khoa kpe vdi ca so la nhieu ngank

khoa kpe khiic. Kel qua dir biio cting diin

chinh xac liiui gop phiin tich cue vao vice

ikiic d.iy sir phiit trien kink lc. xii kdi cua tirng

qudc gia va cua loim nluin loai.

Cd nkieu plurang pkiip dir biio. Moi

plurang pkup deu ed uu diem vii nhuge

diem eu.i mink.

hi n9!2.s2l sscj Email nguyenlanan ayalioo com

Dir bao tktii liet ki tiin de dupe I'lil nkieu

ngirdi quan tiim do ket qua dir biio ihtii liel

ank huong true licp tien doi sdng king ngay

eua mdi ngirdi diin. Vi cd riit nkieu yen to anh

hirdng den tkdi tiet, v i sir bicn ddi riit kkd

ludng cua tkien nkien. bai loan du bao tkdi

lu;t la mtit bai toiin ed dd phuc tap tinh toiin

ldn nhung dp ckinh xiic lai kkdng cap nen

ngud'i la ludn tim tdi. Ciii tien ciic pkuang

pkap giai quvct nd.

1 ng dung miing noron nkan tiio de giai bai

loan du biio ndi ckung ti i biii toiiii dir biio thdi

tiet noi rieng la mdl hudng di lo ra cd nhicu

uu diem v i mang noron ki mdl md kink tink

loan md phong koat ddng ctia luio ngudi. Day

la md kinh tink toan mt-m tico. ckiip nkan

tkong tin kkdng ckink x;ic. de tkich ngki va

ngudi ta dii ckimg mink diroc rang mang

naron truven tkiing tti i it nhiit mdt k'yp iin co

the xiip XI mpi hiim bat ky vdi dp chinh xiic

tiiv V [2|. Du biio tkdi liel tt'vi iing di.mg mang

noron nkan tao lam giam dang ke dp pkuc tap

tinh tpan.

Tren the gidi cting nlur o' Viet Nam. da cd

nhieu nghien ctiu. irng dung mang naron nhan

tao trong dir biio [1 10). Nhiing edng trinh

dd. Viii nkfrng viin de cii tke. dii khiing dinh

kka nang cua mang noron nkan tao trong bai

loan du bao. Tuy nkien kki Xiiy dirng mang

ncrxon cho mdi bai totin cu the. de tkiiy rang sd

Idp an. sd iioron eua mdi ldp tin ank kirong rat

kin tiM cliiil luci'iig eua mang. Liini tke niio de

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